Texas Tech at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow

Staff Writer

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-5, 5-3 Big 12) visit the Baylor Bears (16-5, 5-3) Tuesday. Tip-off from Foster Pavilion is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Texas Tech vs. Baylorodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Texas Tech is ranked No. 23 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Raiders have lost 2 in a row straight up and against the spread (ATS). The most recent of those games was Saturday when -4.5 TTU fell to Cincinnati 75-72.

No. 13 Baylor, which swept 2 games from the Raiders last season, defeated Iowa State 70-68 Saturday (ATS loss on -4). The Bears have won back-to-back games after dropping 3 in a row from Jan. 16-27. The 2nd-leading scoring team in the Big 12 (84 points per game) went 12-of-23 (52.3%) from 3-point range against ISU. The Bears' 41.8% season mark from distance leads the nation.

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Texas Tech at Baylor odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Texas Tech +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Baylor -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texas Tech +5.5 (-110) | Baylor -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texas Tech at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 75, Texas Tech 74

Moneyline

PASS: TTU is the lean side, but we should want +225 or better in return.

Against the spread

Texas Tech is 6-2 across its last 8 February games. Baylor is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.

TTU runs a highly efficient offense, and it's reasonable to expect a bounce-back after shooting woes in Saturday's setback against Cincinnati. The Red Raiders shoot a lot of 3s, and their 41.3% make rate on the road ranks 3rd in NCAA-I.

Baylor's defensive efficiency numbers have taken a hit over recent weeks. A 10-point late lead would figure to be more vulnerable in this matchup.

BACK THE RED RAIDERS +5.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The last 8 Texas Tech games lined with a total in the 140s have seen the Over go 7-1. When the Raiders face an over-.500 team, the Over is 7-4.

The tempo mix makes for fewer possessions than the average game. Both sides rank in the slower half of all teams. But we should expect a decent number of BU put-backs and free throws and a lot of combined 3s.

BACK THE OVER 144.5 (-110).

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