2024 WM Phoenix Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Cameron DaSilva

Staff Writer

After a few weeks in California, the PGA Tour heads to the desert for the 2024 WM Phoenix Open. TPC Scottsdale will once again host this fantastic event at the Stadium Course, which features the famous 16th hole and plenty of scoring opportunities throughout. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning and wraps up Sunday afternoon before the Super Bowl begins.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 WM Phoenix Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler comes into the week as the 2-time defending champion of the WM Phoenix Open. He has the shortest odds of anyone in the field at +500, which are even shorter than they were at the start of the week due to withdrawals of Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland. The 2nd-favorite is Justin Thomas at +1000, followed by Jordan Spieth, Max Homa and Sam Burns at +1600.

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 and 7,261 yards and has hosted this tournament every year since 1987 – just 1 year after the course opened. There are only 3 par 5s but they're all reachable in 2 for most players, and the par-4 17th hole is drivable, making for a thrilling finish down the stretch thanks to its eagle and birdie potential.

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WM Phoenix Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:13 p.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+200)

Thomas has the 2nd-best odds to finish in the top 5 but that shouldn't scare you off. He has 3 top-5s in the last 5 years here, with the other finishes being 8th place in 2022 and 13th in 2021. He's also a good bet for a top 10 at even money (+100)

Sungjae Im (+550)

Im has had 2 down weeks in a row with a MC and 66th in his last 2 starts, but his track record in this tournament speaks for itself. He's finished 6th and 7th, as well as 17th and 34th in his only 4 appearances here. Without Schauffele and Hovland in the field, his chances for a top 5 get even better, too.

WM Phoenix Open – Top-10 picks

Hideki Matsuyama (+400)

Matsuyama finished near the bottom of the leaderboard last week at Pebble Beach but he tied for 13th at Torrey Pines the week prior. He has 1 top 10 in his last 5 starts here, as well as finishes of 15th and 16th in 2019 and 2020.

Rickie Fowler (+400)

Fowler won the WM Phoenix Open in 2019, which feels like ages ago, but he also came in 10th last year during his resurgent 2023 season. After a slow start to this current campaign, Fowler could get back on track at a course he loves.

Sahith Theegala (+320)

Theegala had a very good chance to win this event as a rookie in 2022 but he faded down the stretch, still finishing 3rd in his tournament debut. He followed it up with a 39th-place finish last year as an elevated event and it's worth considering him again this week.

WM Phoenix Open – Top-20 picks

Beau Hossler (+170)

Hossler has top-20 finishes in each of his last 2 starts this season and he just came in 14th at the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. His game is trending in the right direction right now and his odds for a top-20 may not be this enticing for very long if he keeps playing the way he has.

Mark Hubbard (+260)

Hubbard continues to play better each week during the early portion of the season, starting with a T-57 at the Sony Open and improving his finishing position every week until he came in 4th at Pebble last week. He finished 9th here in 2020 and 30th the following year.

Eric Cole (+170)

Cole is incredibly consistent and despite never playing here before, it's hard not to like his top-20 odds at +170 considering he already has 3 top 20s and a T-21 in 5 starts this season.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Thomas Detry (+225)
Min Woo Lee (+140)

WM Phoenix Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Sungjae Im (+110) vs. Jordan Spieth (-135)

Spieth was very shaky with the putter at Pebble Beach last week and with the WM Phoenix Open sometimes turning into a putting contest, that may not bode well for Spieth. Give me Im, who's been steady at this event in the past.

Eric Cole (-110) vs. Cameron Young (-110)

Young has finished 26th and 64th in 2 starts at the WM Phoenix Open, which is a pretty average track record. Cole has been the much better player so far this season so he's the pick here.

WM Phoenix Open – Top Canadian

Adam Hadwin (+175)

Hadwin is getting better the more he plays this tournament, finishing 26th in 2022 and 10th in 2023. Fellow Canadian Corey Conners' best finish here since 2020 is 17th, with 3 other finishes outside the top 30.

WM Phoenix Open – Top European

Thomas Detry (+600)

With Hovland out, the field of Europeans is much weaker this week. Detry has the 2nd-best odds to be the top European behind only Matt Fitzpatrick (+350), but Detry is trending up with finishes of 20th and 4th in the last 2 weeks.

WM Phoenix Open – First-round leader

Byeong Hun An (+4000)

An was 2 shots off the 1st-round pace in 2019 and had the 4th-lowest 1st-round score in 2020, shooting no worse than 69 to open his last 3 starts in this tournament. He's already finished 2nd and 4th this season and has his game firing on all cylinders.

WM Phoenix Open – First-round top 10

Adam Hadwin (+400)

Hadwin was tied for 2nd after the 1st round in each of the last 2 years here and has broken 70 on Thursday in each of his last 4 starts in this tournament, including 66s in the last 2 years and a 67 in 2021. He doesn't need to lead after the 1st round, just be in the top 10.

WM Phoenix Open – To make the cut

Im, An and Theegala: Yes (+140)

Each of these players has made the cut in at least their last 2 starts here, with Im and An going 4 straight years and 5 straight years, respectively. They're short odds, but these 3 players should all have good weeks in Scottsdale.

More expert prop bet predictions

Will there be a hole-in-one? Yes (-135)

Since 2019, there have been 7 holes-in-one during this tournament, including 3 in the last 2 years alone. Though it's not the easiest set of par 3s, history says this is a good number at -135. The only year since 2019 without a hole-in-one was 2021.

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